Gino Hard graphic listing the top 10 worst NHL contracts for 2026, led by Calgary Flames winger Jonathan Huberdeau
Graphic via Gino Hard
Highlights
  • Jonathan Huberdeau tops The Athletic’s worst contract list for a third straight year
  • Leo Carlsson’s new $18 million deal in Anaheim debuts at No. 4
  • Read below for the full top 10 and the surplus value numbers behind it

Jonathan Huberdeau still owns the worst contract in hockey.

Dom Luszczyszyn of The Athletic rolled out his annual ranking of the NHL’s 10 worst deals on July 23, and the Calgary winger sits at No. 1 for a third year in a row. He has five seasons left at a $10.5 million cap hit.

The model puts a hard number on it. Huberdeau’s projected surplus value comes in at minus-$32 million, and his odds of the deal ever turning positive sit at 1 percent.

Here is how Luszczyszyn introduced the list:

Leo Carlsson is the newest name near the top. The Ducks center debuts at No. 4 on an $18 million AAV, roughly $5 million a year more than the model says he is worth right now, which works out to a minus-$25 million shortfall and a 6 percent chance of positive value.

Luszczyszyn does not call the decision a mistake. He still thinks Anaheim was right to match the offer sheet rather than hand over the first-round picks attached to it, even with the contract landing this high.

Edmonton is the only team on the list twice. Trent Frederic ranks sixth at $3.9 million and Jake Walman seventh at $7 million, both with seven years to go.

Neither one is a star deal gone bad. They are depth contracts stretched out on term because the Oilers have no room left once McDavid and Draisaitl are paid.

Take a look at the full top 10:

#PlayerTeamRemaining
1Jonathan HuberdeauCalgary Flames5 years, $10.5M AAV
2Chandler StephensonSeattle Kraken5 years, $6.3M AAV
3Adin HillVegas Golden Knights5 years, $6.3M AAV
4Leo CarlssonAnaheim Ducks5 years, $18M AAV
5Jacob TroubaSan Jose Sharks4 years, $8.3M AAV
6Trent FredericEdmonton Oilers7 years, $3.9M AAV
7Jake WalmanEdmonton Oilers7 years, $7M AAV
8Brett KulakColorado Avalanche5 years, $4.5M AAV
9Alex TuchWashington Capitals8 years, $10.5M AAV
10Elias PetterssonVancouver Canucks6 years, $11.6M AAV

That same model handed out better news a day earlier, when Lane Hutson’s extension in Montreal ranked as the best value deal in the league.

Huberdeau has five more years in Calgary to move himself off the top of this one.

Evan McLeod
Evan McLeod is an NHL writer covering league news, trades, and playoff storylines. With a focus on pace-of-play trends and player usage, he brings a mix of eye test and analytics to every piece. Before joining Gino Hard, Evan covered junior hockey in the OHL and contributed to independent hockey blogs during the season.